May 27th Superbowl news ... Welcome to super bowl xlii picks, the most comprehensive handicapping site for betting on the Super Bowl.
Welcome to superbowlpick.net, the most comprehensive handicapping site for betting on the Super Bowl.
With so many propositions bets to go along with the traditional lines, the bettor must have all of the most up to date and pertinent data if he expects to score a profit on super bowl xlii picks and predictions.
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Week 11 Sleepers
QB Robert Griffin III vs. Bucs ($7400): RGIII has to be the top streamer of the week. He looked healthy in his Week 9 return, as evidenced by the number of roll-outs and read-option plays called by coach Jay Gruden. RGIII has had to two weeks to rest and now gets the Bucs atrocious secondary that could be without top CB Alterraun Verner (hamstring) again this week. Even if Verner plays, RGIII will remain a strong play because Verner has been terrible. The Bucs field the leagues 31st-ranked pass defense and have surrendered the seventh-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. RGIII also has one of the most talented receiving corps. Hes a borderline QB1 who has a very favorable fantasy playoffs schedule with the Colts, Rams, Giants, and Eagles lined up for Weeks 13-16. RGIII is worth grabbing in all formats.
QB Mark Sanchez at Packers ($6900): Some refuse to believe in Sanchez, and thats fair. But he looked good on Monday night, and coach Chip Kelly knows how to play to Sanchezs strengths. Even after his strong Week 10, Sanchezs price rose just $300 on FanDuel. He remains a huge bargain with mid-range QB1 upside. The Packers play strong pass defense, but this game projects as a shootout with a 55-point over-under. 300-plus yards and a couple touchdowns is attainable, even if it comes with a turnover. Sanchez is going to bring back value. After Week 11, Sanchez will face four straight top-ten fantasy pass defenses.
Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $2.5 Million Fantasy Football league for Week 11's games. It's only $25 to join and first prize is $300,000. Starts Sunday, November 16th at 1pm ET. Here's the link.
RB Jeremy Hill at Saints ($6500): Giovani Bernard (hip) is fully expected to miss at least one more game. And the schedule remains soft for the Bengals rushing attack. On deck are three straight bottom-12 fantasy run defenses in New Orleans, Houston, and Tampa Bay. Look for the Saints to force Andy Dalton to beat them and concentrate on Hill and the run game after Daltons bed-wetting against Cleveland last week. But the Browns have a more talented pass defense, so Dalton should find more throwing lanes especially if New Orleans is minus top CB Keenan Lewis (knee). In turn, that would open up more alleys for Hill, who is fully capable of handling 20-plus touches. Owners need not to be scared off by Hills 55-yard effort in Week 10. Hes a legit RB1/2.
RB Ryan Mathews vs. Raiders ($6200): Mathews has missed seven games with a sprained MCL. But hes been practicing for weeks and is set to make his return against Oakland with San Diego coming off its bye. If hes not 100 percent, Mathews is close to it. Hes fully expected to slide right back into the lead-back job on first and second downs, with Branden Oliver playing the Danny Woodhead role. Ace beat writer Michael Gehlken expects Mathews to handle around 15 touches based on game flow. Well, this game could get out of hand in favor of San Diego with the Bolts in dire need of a victory, which could then lead to more carries for Mathews in the second half. 18 carries for 80-plus yards and a touchdown is doable. Mathews needs to be owned in all leagues and fired up as a strong RB2 play in this AFC West tilt.
RB Trent Richardson vs. Patriots ($5700): Youre going to want to own someone from the highest projected shootout (58-point over-under) of the season. Both teams are going to want to throw the ball all over the yard, but look for the Colts to try and take advantage of a New England run defense that is allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to running backs. Richardson gets the starts in the Indianapolis backfield and is a good bet for at least 12 touches. While Ahmad Bradshaw is the preferred play, Richardson will likely see a couple goal-line looks. Wed be more than happy with 60-70 total yards and a touchdown. That would be tremendous value on FanDuels 44th-highest-priced running back for Week 11.
RB Jerick McKinnon at Bears ($5500): Directly under Trent Richardson on the FanDuel pricing chart at running back this week is McKinnon. The rookie is still looking for his first NFL touchdown, and its going to be up to him to break one off because the Vikings plug Matt Asiata into the backfield when they get close to the end zone. I feel pretty confident McKinnon will find pay dirt against the Bears. The Chicago linebackers and safeties cant cover anyone, and we saw it last Sunday night when Eddie Lacy of all people took a screen pass 56 yards to the house. McKinnon would run circles around Lacy, and thats no knock on Lacy. McKinnon is a legitimate RB2 whos had zero trouble picking up yards. Hes going to be looking to have a big game with Adrian Peterson knocking on the door of a possible return in Week 12.
RB Benny Cunningham vs. Broncos ($5400): Cunningham is a lock for 6-10 touches, and hes found the end zone in 4-of-6 games since the Rams bye. Hes the running back the Rams trust most in pass protection and on third downs, and hes also the one who gets the key looks near the goal line. With less mobile Shaun Hill at quarterback, DeMarcus Ware and Von Miller coming off the edges, Id expect Cunningham to out-snap Tre Mason on Sunday. Cunningham will be Hills outlet. He hasnt touched the ball more than 10 times in a game this season, but could surpass that this week with the Rams likely to get blown out and forced to pass. Hill is a checkdown artist with no downfield pass-game options in St. Louis. Cunningham is the ultimate dart-throw. There are worse options at running back.
WR Marques Colston vs. Bengals ($6100): Colston has averaged just four targets per game the past three weeks, so this isnt a play for the faint of heart. Bengals slot CB Leon Hall missed Week 10 with a concussion, but is expected back Sunday. Before getting hurt, Hall had been one of the worst cover corners in the league the previous few weeks. Allen Hurns burned Hall for 4-79-1 in Week 9, and T.Y. Hilton beat him for 4-81 two weeks prior. Colston had opportunities for big plays last week, but couldnt corral a pass that wouldve gone for an 81-yard score. The Saints are at home again where the offense as a whole plays much better. Colston is a WR4 with some upside.
WR Rueben Randle vs. 49ers ($6100): Randle falls into that category with Michael Floyd and Justin Hunter as guys we continue to wait on for big games. Unlike Floyd and Hunter, Randle sees consistent targets; hes seen at least nine passes come his way in 6-of-7 games since Week 2. Now, the 49ers are down top CB Tramaine Brock and may also be without slot CB Jimmie Ward, forcing other players into action. Randle has fallen behind Odell Beckham as the Giants unquestioned No. 1 receiver, but theres still gobs of talent here. He just has to harness it. Eli Manning will continue to give Randle opportunities to make plays. The 49ers have been susceptible to the pass. Randle remains a boom-or-bust WR3 with boom potential Sunday.
WR Cordarrelle Patterson at Bears ($6000): Patterson is another guy were waiting on. After totaling 96 yards in Week 8, Patterson came crashing back down in Week 9 with just nine yards on one catch. The Vikings continue to say they want Petterson more involved on offense, so maybe they used the bye week to draw some plays up for him. The Bears cant cover, tackle, or play the run, leaving the Vikings playmakers as interesting fantasy options. Packers WRs were running free all night last Sunday. Patterson is a headache, but one worth the gamble against Chicago.
WR Andrew Hawkins vs. Texans ($5300): Hawkins missed last Thursday nights game against the Bengals with a thigh/knee issue, but said he was close to playing. Hes now at just about 100 percent and gets a date with a Texans pass defense that has given up the second-most fantasy points to receivers. Hawkins plays the slot about 55 percent of the time, so hes going to see enough of Texans CB Andre Hal, whos been torched for 11-185-2 the past three games. Houstons regular slot CB Kareem Jackson remains sidelined with a knee injury. Hawkins has seen at least eight targets in 7-of-8 games played this season.
TE Kyle Rudolph at Bears (N/A): Its extremely frustrating that Rudolph isnt available on FanDuel this week. And were not sure why thats the case, as plenty of other injured players are available on the site. Rudolph has been out since Week 3 after undergoing sports-hernia surgery. Hes been eyeing a Week 11 return all along and was back at practice Wednesday. Rudolphs fill-in, Chase Ford, caught 11-of-12 targets for 127 yards and one touchdown the past two weeks, and became a favorite of Teddy Bridgewaters as a middle-of-the-field intermediate option. Thats where Bridgewater excels. Last week, the Bears gave up two touchdowns to tight ends. Rudolph should be added in all leagues as a potential stretch-run TE1 with a favorable schedule the next five weeks. With Rudolph unavailable on FanDuel, Ill most likely end up dishing out the dollars for Rob Gronkowski. Im not a fan of the basement-priced tight ends this week.
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Bet on Super Bowl LI2016-10-06
Super Bowl LI will be the 51st Super Bowl and the 47th modern-era National Football League (NFL) championship game. The American Football Conference (AFC) champion will play the National Football Conference (NFC) champion to decide the league champion for the 2016 season.
The game is scheduled for Sunday, February 5, 2017 at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, and will be the third time the Super Bowl is held in Houston, after VIII in 1974 and XXXVIII in 2004. It will be televised nationally in the United States by Fox
The Biggest Game of the Year2008-01-31
Championship Round Recap
Picks Ė Giants +7 at Packers
Result Ė Win
Amount - 50 units
Season Bankroll - +$600
If you have listened to me this season, you have made money. Period. Itís that simple. Specifically, if you listened to me during the playoffs this year, then you have made a LOT of money. Now comes your last chance. One game left, the Super Bowl. If you are down for the year, it is your chance to double down and salvage the season. If you are up, then itís time for one last score. And it will be a good one, Patriots and Giants, this Sunday, with everything on the line. The New England Patriots are 60 minutes from the first 19-0 season in NFL history, with the New York Giants seeking to ruin that run at perfection with a monumental upset on Sunday. But would it be monumental? Iíve been riding the Giants since the playoffs started folks and this time, they are getting a whopping 12 points. So letís take a closer look at this one shall we?
As everyone knows by now, this game is a rematch from week 17 of this season. The Giants took New England to the wire in that contest, building a double-digit second-half lead before falling, 38-35. Sunday will mark the second time two teams that squared off in the last game of the regular season will engage in a Super Bowl rematch. The Cowboys' 27-10 win over the Broncos in Super Bowl XII came less than a month after Dallas had downed Denver, 14-6, on the final week of the 1977 regular season.
The Patriots (3-2 in Super Bowls) will make their sixth Super Sunday appearance, a mark that trails only that of Dallas (8), and is tied with Pittsburgh (6) and Denver (6) for the most all-time while New York is in the Super Bowl for the first time in seven years thanks to consecutive playoff road wins over the Buccaneers (24-14), Cowboys (21-17), and Packers (23-20 in overtime), and the Giants' 10 wins away from home in 2007 are an NFL record.
Historically, the Patriots have a 5-3 edge in their series with the Giants, and have won four straight since New York took down New England by a 13-10 count at Foxboro Stadium in 1990. As mentioned, New England was a 38-35 road winner when the teams last met, in Week 17.
After putting together a regular season compatible with his inconsistent four- year career, Eli Manning (3336 passing yards, 23 TD, 20 INT) has undergone a playoff revelation marked by sound decision-making and a minimizing of mistakes. The former No. 1 overall draft pick has completed 62 percent of his throws and not committed a turnover in New York's three postseason games. Manning's outstanding run actually began with a strong outing against New England in Week 17, when he went 22-of-32 for 251 yards and tossed four touchdown passes. Since an interception thrown by Manning late in that game, the Giants offense has gone 33 possessions and 194 plays without a turnover.
New York's receiving corps possesses a strong blend of size, experience and youth in the threesome of Plaxico Burress, Amani Toomer and Steve Smith. The 6-foot-5, 232-pound Burress can be a matchup nightmare for opposing defensive backs, as Green Bay's Al Harris recently found out first-hand. Burress manhandled the Pro Bowl corner with an 11-catch, 151-yard performance in the NFC Championship and also caught two scoring passes from Manning in the Giants' 38-35 loss to the Patriots in late December. Toomer, one of only two remaining members from New York's 2000 Super Bowl squad, has compiled 196 yards and three touchdowns in this postseason. The rookie Smith has made up for an unproductive and injury- plagued regular season with nine playoff catches, including several key grabs.
The Giants will send out their "thunder-and-lightning" tandem of Brandon and Ahmad Bradshaw in hopes of keeping the Patriots' record-setting offense off the field as much as possible on Super Bowl Sunday. The 21-year-old Bradshaw has been the more effective member of the duo during the playoffs, having totaled a team-best 163 rushing yards on 39 carries, but Jacobs did put up a respectable 67 yards on 15 attempts against New England in the regular- season finale. The pairing will be running behind another unsung hero in fullback Madison Hedgecock, an early-season waiver claim whose powerful blocking has been essential to the team's proficiency in the ground game.
New England primarily uses a three-man defensive front, with Pro Bowler Vince Wilfork the middle and Richard Seymour and Ty Warren occupying the ends. Seymour, who has two sacks and a fumble recovery during his Super Bowl career, is often replaced by Jarvis Green in passing situations. The Patriots ranked near the bottom of the league with 4.4 yards allowed per carry during the regular season.
The Patriots have a pair of highly-decorated linebackers in the middle of their four-man group, with former Pro Bowlers Tedy Bruschi, and Junior Seau occupying those places. Seau and Bruschi are 1-2 on the team in stops during the postseason. Mike Vrabel and Adalius Thomas man the outside linebacker positions for New England, and are viewed by opponents as the team's most dangerous pass rushers. Vrabel will be making his fourth Super Bowl start as a Patriot. Thomas had New England's only sack of Manning in Week 17.
MVP Tom Brady (4806 passing yards, 50 TD, 8 INT) comes off one of the great statistical seasons in NFL history, though less focus will be on that fact than on Brady's gimpy right ankle. Brady was hurt in the third quarter of the Pats' AFC Championship win over the Chargers, and struggled during much of a performance in which he threw a season-worst three interceptions. Even with that showing, Brady (471 yards, 5 TD, 3 INT in the postseason) has a 105.7 rating in these playoffs. He's also 3-0 with six touchdowns, one pick, and 735 yards in three career Super Bowl appearances. Brady was 32-of-42 for 356 yards and two touchdowns against the Giants in Week 17.
One of the major storylines on Super Sunday will involve wideout Randy Moss (98 receptions, 23 TD), who will be appearing in his first career Super Bowl and trying to shake off a conspicuously quiet 2007 postseason to date. Moss has touched the football just three times in the playoffs, catching two balls for 32 yards and carrying once for 14 yards. Moss had six catches for 100 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Giants in the regular season finale. Slot receiver Wes Welker has 16 catches for 110 yards and two touchdowns in the playoffs thus far, and logged 11 grabs for 122 yards versus the G-Men last time out. Donte' Stallworth and Jabar Gaffney both had their moments during the regular season, and have combined for nine catches totaling 117 yards in these playoffs.
Tight end Benjamin Watson, who has made two of his three catches in the playoffs to date count for touchdowns, remains a trusted red- zone target for Brady. Watson, who will be making his first career Super Bowl appearance, caught four balls for 38 yards against New York in Week 17. No. 2 tight end Kyle Brady will be appearing in his first career Super Bowl at the age of 36. Brady had nine catches (two for touchdowns) during the regular season, and has one grab in the 2007 postseason. Vrabel, who caught a touchdown pass against the Eagles in Super Bowl XXXIX, occasionally appears as a tight end in goal-line sets.
Running back Laurence Maroney has generated a major impact for the Patriots during the playoffs, carrying 47 times for 244 yards and two touchdowns in wins over the Jaguars and Chargers. In his last five games overall, Maroney has averaged 110 rushing yards and scored seven touchdowns. The second-year pro was held to 46 yards on 19 carries against the Giants in Week 17, but scored twice. Kevin Faulk, who led New England with eight catches for 72 yards in the AFC Championship win over San Diego, has 16 rushes for 95 yards and seven receptions for 45 yards during his Super Bowl career. Fullback Heath Evans, who comes in during short-yardage situations, has just three touches in the '07 playoffs to date.
Giants ends Osi Umenyiora, Michael Strahan and Justin Tuck have been wreaking havoc all year long, and the trio will be counted on to make Brady uncomfortable in the pocket for the Giants to have a chance to pull off the upset. The 36-year-old Strahan, one of only two players left from the Giants' 2000 NFC champion squad, has been the most productive of the group in the postseason. The seven- time Pro Bowler has compiled 18 tackles, one sack and a forced fumble in the three playoff games.
Though the Patriots have the edge in a majority of the above personnel categories, it's not a decisive edge on many counts. The Giants proved on Dec. 29 that they have the ability to make this a game, and it is difficult to envision a team that is playing with as much confidence and purpose as is New York to get run off the field in this one. The Giants are getting 12 points people and they can actually win this one if they play a perfect game. Take the points and take the Giants.
Until next time, may all your bets be winners.